海洋科学进展
热带气旋尺度和结构的影响因子和理论探索
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国家自然科学基金项目——热带气旋结构和大小的理论探索:大气热机和旋转Rayleigh-Benard对流(42130603)和台风数目和尺度的气候影响因子:旋转辐射对流平衡模拟(?41975127)


Tropical Cyclone Size and Structure: Impacting Factors and Theoretical Investigation
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    摘要:

    热带气旋是地球上最主要的自然灾害之一,其结构和尺度不仅直接影响其致灾范围,还间接影响其强度和移动路径。对热带气旋结构和尺度的科学认识有助于其强度和路径预报能力的提高,本身也是重要的科学问题。热带气旋的尺度通常用最大风速半径和外围半径刻画,而结构通常指最大风速半径和外围半径的相对大小。自然界中热带气旋的尺度和结构可以有很大的差异,在其发展过程中尺度和结构也可以发生明显的变化,从而影响强度和路径。本文从观测、模拟和理论三方面简要回顾了热带气旋结构和尺度方面的相关研究,重点介绍了Emanuel-Rotunno台风结构模型的理论推导,并展望了未来可能的研究方向和思路。

    Abstract:

    Tropical cyclone is one of the most important natural disasters on Earth. The structure and size of tropical cyclones not only impact their flooding and damaging area directly, but also influence their intensity and track indirectly. As an important basic scientific question, the scientific understanding of structure and size of tropical cyclones would improve the forecast skills of tropical cyclone’s intensity and track. Tropical cyclone size generally refers to the radius of maximum wind and the outer radius, while its structure is generally featured by the ratio between the two sizes. The size and structure of tropical cyclones in nature can differ significantly individually and change greatly during the evolution of tropical cyclones and thus impact their intensity and track. This paper briefly reviews the current research about structure and size of tropical cyclones from three perspectives (observations, modeling and theory). Theoretical derivation of Emanuel-Rotunno tropical cyclone model is also introduced. It also outlined the future research directions with potential ideas and thoughts to move forward.

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林岩銮,王丹阳.热带气旋尺度和结构的影响因子和理论探索[J].海洋科学进展,2022,40(4):742-754

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  • 收稿日期:2022-06-05
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  • 在线发布日期: 2022-10-31
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